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USGS: An earthquake of magnitude 5.1 occurred in Izu Islands, Japan.The President of Belarus approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030. According to the website of the President of Belarus on the 12th, President Lukashenko approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030 at the meeting of the Belarusian Security Council that day. Lukashenko pointed out at the meeting that in recent years, the military and political situation around Belarus has deteriorated, individual countries have escalated the situation around Belarus, and European countries' destructive remarks against Belarus have also increased. He stressed that the Belarusian army poses no threat to any country, is a tool to prevent war, and will repel the enemy when the country is invaded.New york Fed: Anna Nordstrom will be the temporary market director.


NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed up 0.18%, NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed up 0.18%, popular Chinese stocks were mixed, Tencent Music rose over 2%, and Pinduoduo and Baidu rose over 1%. In terms of decline, iQiyi and Youdao fell more than 2%, and Weilai fell more than 1%.The 10-year yield of US debt rose more than 1% to 4.316.BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.


Market information: Turkey appointed a chargé d 'affaires for its embassy in Damascus, which was closed during the Syrian civil war.Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)Doing a good job of macro-policy "combination boxing" to promote the sustained economic recovery. After the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Conference released a strong signal that the policy of steady growth will be significantly increased in 2025, the Central Economic Work Conference held on December 11-12 further refined the "task book" for macro-policy implementation. Experts said that the implementation of fiscal and monetary policies will be significantly enhanced in 2025. For example, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, continue to implement the vigorous RRR cut and interest rate cut, and so on. At the same time, under the requirements of "system integration and coordination", policies and reform and opening-up measures in finance, currency, employment and other aspects will pay more attention to coordination, lay a good "combination boxing", give better play to policy effectiveness, and strive to promote sustained economic recovery. (CSI)

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